Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Outdoor tropicals after the storm

The tropicals that were planted in ground fared well during their first major winter storm.

Snowed in...
2:00PM Sunday
2:00PM Sunday

2:00PM Sunday



6:00 PM Sunday
6:00PM Sunday


Then iced in...

6:00AM Monday
6:00AM Monday

8:00AM Monday
8:00AM Monday


Then snowed in again...

10:00AM Tuesday
12:00PM Tuesday
                             
                                    10:00AM Tuesday

Monday, December 9, 2013

Winter is not done yet... More snow?

UPDATE 10:12 PM 12/9/13
Hi-res NAM radar simulation for 7:00 AM                 Total liquid-equivalent precip                             shows heavy snow

UPDATE 9:05 PM 12/9/13
The NWS has upgraded a narrow band spanning across DC into a Winter Storm Warning for 3-6 inches of snow.
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 2 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
3 AM TO 2 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION MAY
  START AS A PERIOD OF SNOW AND SLEET BEFORE DAWN CHANGING TO ALL
  SNOW AFTER DAYBREAK.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...AROUND DAYBREAK TUESDAY LASTING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE TUESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM HEAVY
  SNOW. THE SNOW WILL IMPACT THE MORNING RUSH TUESDAY WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.




Original Text
Once again, more winter weather is projected to impact the DC metro and once again, there is a lull just before it. Tonight, temps will drop back below freezing so refreezing may occur.  In addition, a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 3AM. If you plan to be out and about, use caution.
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY...

* VISIBILITIES...ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CAUSE SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN
  VISIBILITY AND RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. BLACK ICE WILL ALSO
  FORM WHEN TEMPERATURES DROP TO BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING...
  ESPECIALLY ON UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

The NWS has a issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the entire DC area starting 3 AM and lasting till 2PM for a quick hitting 3-5 inches of snow. The snow may start off with some sleet mixed in.


...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 2 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 3 AM TO 2 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. THE PRECIPITATION
  MAY START AS A PERIOD OF SLEET...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
  66 IN VIRGINIA AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...NEAR DAWN TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
  INCLUDING THE TUESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM HEAVY
  SNOW. THE SNOW WILL IMPACT THE MORNING RUSH TUESDAY WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.


Precip will enter the area in the early morning hours and overspread the area by 6. The storm will be quick moving, but badly timed, with the heaviest snow coming in as students prepare to go to school. Temps will drop as the precip moves in. Bands of heavy snow may develop just in time for rush hour. There is a possibility of preemptive school closures due to the possible heavy snow. Temperatures in the upper levels will be very cold, possibly contributing to higher liquid to snow ratios which means higher accumulations and fluffier and drier snow.





Beyond tomorrow, skies will clear but temps will plummet. Forecast highs will struggle to reach freezing and lows will be in the teens to single digits until Friday. The coldest day will be Wednesday,  with forecast highs in the 20s and  lows on Weds night in the single digits. Bundle up everybody!


How to measure Snow: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=PNSSEW&max=61
                                                        Thanks for reading,
                                                                 -Alex

Sunday, December 8, 2013

Winter Storm Warning extended east, Maybe no school tomorrow?

Part one of today's storm was an overachiever, bringing more snow that expected to the area. Totals in the immediate DC metro ranged from 4 inches in the west to 1 inch to the south and east. Farther north and west, the totals were more impressive, with 7 inches in Frederick MD


Temperatures also stayed lower than expected today. this indicates that the ridging from the high pressure was stronger than expected and that the freezing precipitation will last longer. In response to the lower temperatures, The National Weather Service extended the Winter storm warning out to DC and PGCo.

The NWS also increased projected freezing rain accumulations to include DC and points north and west to receive more than .25 inches of ice. The 18z NAM model, which has higher resolution than the other operational models, predicts that the freezing line will stay south and east of DC and through 6AM Monday. 

As the day progresses, easterly winds of the relatively warm ocean will erode the cold air and the freezing rain will turn to just cold rain. Highs on Monday will be near 40. Tuesday features another chance at snow as another storm swings by to the south with highs in the mid 30's. 

Will we have school on Monday?

Loudoun County, VA has canceled school, which indicates that Montgomery County may follow suit. Loudon county lies just across the river from MoCo so whatever happens there is likely to happen here. MCPS needs to make it's decision by 5AM Monday. According to the models, temps will be below freezing at 6AM Monday for all of the county so MCPS will have to either call a 2 hour delay or no school. In addition, a quarter inch or more of ice is not something to mess with. It is much more hazardous to drive in than snow or sleet because it just freezes into something like an ice rink. the ice also may weigh down branches, resulting in scattered power outages. remember that just because the southern part of the county is above freezing does not mean there will be school. The northern portion may still be affected by winter weather.