Sunday, November 23, 2014

Thanksgiving Week Forecast


After a cold week, a cool weekend, we get a torchy Monday. Is it too early to think of spring?
Summary:
Monday will be cloudy, warm and damp, with periods of rain in the morning. Highs will be in the low 70s. A cold front comes through Monday night dropping temperatures into the mid 40s. Tuesday will be seasonably cool, sunny, with a high in the low 50s. Tuesday night, temperatures drop to the upper 30s and clouds increase as low pressure develops to the south. Wednesday is the wild card day of this week. The coastal low is expected to track north, bringing precipitation in the form or rain and/or snow. In any case, it will likely be a wet and raw day. Temperatures drop again Wednesday night, with a low near 30 and clearing skies. The rest of the week through Sunday will remain mainly sunny and cool, with highs in the low 40s and lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Significant Day: Monday
 A strengthening low pressure system to the west will pull north to the great lakes region over the course of Monday. A warm front will pass over our area, bringing strong southerly winds gusting up to 25 mph tomorrow. Temperatures will shout to be well above average into the low 70s and perhaps approaching the mid 70s in some areas. Rain will mainly be of a showery nature with amounts around a quarter of an inch expected. The main time for rain will be early in the morning on Monday. A cold front will swing through Monday night. This front is expected to stall off the coast, setting up the next event on Wednesday






Significant Day: Wednesday
 A coastal low is expected to track develop off the Southeast coast and track in our direction. Temperatures will be marginal for frozen precipitation but in any case, precipitation is expected to be heavier than on Monday. The current thinking goes that we will start with temperatures int the upper 30s in the morning with some light rain/snow mix developing. Temperatures will drop as the storm strengthens heavier precipitation develops and when the event is set and done, 1-3 inches of snow accumulation is possible. However, this is a very complicated situation so things will change. For better or for worse is yet to be known. Here is the link for a more detailed post: http://mdtropics.blogspot.com/2014/11/thanksgiving-eve-coastal-storm.html




The Omnipresent Question: Will it Snow?
Snow is likely. I repeat, snow is likely. Don't get your hopes up for more than a bit of white slop. But hey, it's November. We barely get a White Christmas, let alone a White Thanksgiving.

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