Christmas Week Forecast

Hello all, I have returned from the depths of the junior year workload to give you a forecast...

Winter break and the end of the year is fast apporaching. For those who see the winter as a  no-show, (I know you're out there) do not despair, meteorological winter started a month ago. "Winter" started just yesterday. Our best times for snow are yet to come (although I could also be eating my words come spring). For those who are sick of the "cold" already, (we are running 2 degrees above average for the month) spring is only a quarter away, and you will be in for a nice Christmas present.

Summary:
Low pressure intensifies to our west, lifting north towards the Ohio river valley and into Canada, strengthening significantly as it goes, bringing us some rain and warm temperatures. Temperatures will remain chilly tonight in the low to mid 30s, rising into the mid 40s tomorrow will drizzle all day. Rain will continue into Tuesday night and into Wednesday. Lows will be around 40 Tuesday night. Southerly winds on Wednesday will raise temperatures into the 60s before a cold front sweeps through. We dry out Wednesday night with lows in the mid 40s and  Thursday, with highs in near 50. The rest of the week seems pleasant and seasonable with sun and highs in the near 50 and lows in the mid 30s


Active period: Now-12/25/2014

Currently, cold air is still entrenched thanks to CAD from a departing high pressure to the NE. As this high moves away, temperatures will rise as the cold air is scoured away by southerly flow, allowing the warm front to move north. By Wednesday, southerly winds gusting up to 25 mph will develop, bringing a unseasonably warm Christmas Eve, a sort mocking b mother nature.
The low will strengthen rapidly as it pulls to the west into Canada, bottoming out around 970mb, quite strong for a storm. The storm will pull a cold front through the region, possible triggering some convection and heavy showers. Rainfall amounts will be around 1 inch when by the end of the event.