Tuesday, March 18, 2014

March 23-28 Timeframe


Somewhere in that time frame, the models show another potential storm.  There are 2 main types of storms that will give us snow. Miller A and Miller B Miller B storms tend to be drier, originating as polar disturbances or clippers, with mainly a northern stream component. These tend to produce dry and fluffy snow with high ratios. The second February blizzard of 2010 is an extreme example. These storms tend to track farther north and can be tricky to forecast for our area as they may go too far north or get wrung out over the mountains. Miller A storms are your run of the mill gulf low to east coast runner storms. These storms produce heavy, wet snow and due to the heavy southern jet influence, can have a lot of moisture. The first February snowstorm of 2010 is a prime example. These storms present their own challenges. Precip type and amount is always an issue. It may go too far west if too strong, keeping us in rain. Or it could go too far east and out to sea. The models cannot resolve what type of storm we will get and at this time range, we may not even get a storm. Oh, and why are we talking about snow at the end of March?

Ensemble foretasted low tracks of GFS and CMC. 

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