I just realized that it is the 7th anniversary of the Feb 2010 blizzards, AKA the best 2 weeks of our lives. Fun times. What I'd give for that again.
It's been a pretty nasty winter across the East for snowlovers. DCA is sitting at 1.4" for the season out of 2 snow events, both in January. Through out the winter, there have been signs of potential improvement in the models but obviously we have been mislead. No reason to step away from that now. Winter basically never started. Although technically invalid, one could say that we are "due" for a below normal year. Maybe there is a connection. I'll leave that up to the real meteorologists to figure out.
Anyways.... Back to the forecast. After this cutter Tuesday, which should warm us well into the 60s, most of the global models (minus the Canadian) are suggesting that trailing energy will ride up along the front as weak low pressure, bringing precipitation over the area. Verbatim it's a nonevent for the immediate metro. There is a small chance that it will be snow in DC, slightly higher chances the farther north and west you go. This is what the winter of 2017 has come to.
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| Forecasted temperatures for Tuesday afternoon |
What we would need is for the storm to slow down and allow cold air in ahead of it. We never do well if we depend on cold air to come in on the back side. We also need it to trend a bit farther south. Both are pretty big things to ask for since we are only 3 days out. But considering that the Canadian has absolutely no storm in the same timeframe as all the other models. Who knows, we could get lucky.
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| CMC (Canadian) model |
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| GFS (American ) model |
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