Monday, January 27, 2014

Hope is not lost... a tiny bit remains...

Due to the recent shifts north by model runs, the Sterling NWS has had some changes about the incoming storm. They think it should stay well to our south  but have reservations about that and mention the possibility of it creeping farther north than currently advertised. Do they know something that we don't? I personally think that the precip shield will not make it to the DC metro... we shall see...

This is what they say...
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE COAST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
GUIDANCE HAS KEPT THE PRECIPITATION OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST
RECENTLY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST TREND IN THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL
RUNS BRING SOME PRECIPITATION FROM THE LOW FARTHER NORTH AND WEST
INTO OUR CWA. THERE IS ALSO UNCERTAINTY IN THE ENSEMBLE FIELDS
WHICH INDICATE A POSSIBILITY OF SNOW REACHING WELL INTO OUR CWA.

OUR LATEST SNOW PROBABILITY MAPS WHICH TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE
ENSEMBLE FIELDS SHOW THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. UPDATED THE
LATEST FORECAST TO INCLUDE POSSIBLE SNOW FOR LOCATIONS NEAR AND
EAST OF I-95. AS OF NOW...IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN MARYLAND...BUT AGAIN
UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH AND THIS NEEDS TO BE MONITORED.

No comments:

Post a Comment